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NPP Race: Musah Dankwah Explains Why Bawumia Is Leading
Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics, Mussa Dankwah, has outlined key factors indicating that former Vice President Dr Mahamudu Bawumia is firmly on course to win the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) presidential primaries scheduled for January 31, 2026.
According to the firm’s final poll released on January 23, Dr Bawumia is projected to secure 57 per cent of the votes, placing him comfortably ahead of the other contenders in the race.
Speaking on Channel One TV’s The Point of View with Bernard Avle on Wednesday, January 28, Mr Dankwah attributed the projection to a combination of voter demographics, delegates’ preference for experienced candidates, and strong electability and favourability ratings.
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“First and foremost is the demography of NPP voters. Only 12 per cent of delegates are under 34 years old,” Mr Dankwah explained. “The party, being conservative, generally does not favour mavericks or disruptive candidates.”
He further noted that experience is a major consideration for delegates, revealing that 45 percent believe presenting a candidate for a second time improves the party’s chances in the general election.
Beyond experience, Mr Dankwah said candidate qualities, particularly electability, played a decisive role in shaping delegate preferences.
“Delegates want someone who can win the general election for them,” he said. “Dr Bawumia received a 93 per cent favourability rating, followed by Dr Bryan Acheampong at 86 per cent, Kennedy Agyapong and Engineer Kwabena Agyepong at 85 per cent each, and Dr Yaw Osei Adutwum at 83 per cent.”
The poll places Kennedy Agyapong as Dr Bawumia’s closest challenger with 28 per cent, while Dr Bryan Acheampong trails with 13 per cent. Dr Yaw Osei Adutwum is projected to secure 2 per cent, with Engineer Kwabena Agyepong recording zero per cent.
The NPP 2026 Presidential Primaries Prediction Survey was conducted between January 20 and January 23, 2026, using a nationwide sample of 10,133 respondents across all 16 regions and 272 constituencies, offering what Global InfoAnalytics describes as a comprehensive picture of delegate sentiment ahead of the crucial vote.
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