Musah Dankwa, the executive director of Global Info Analytics, has declared himself vindicated after critics dismissed his pre-election prediction as madness.
In the lead-up to Ghana’s December 7 presidential election, Dankwa’s survey projected that former President John Dramani Mahama would win with 52.2% of the vote, far ahead of Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, who was predicted to secure 41.4%. His forecast was met with ridicule, with some accusing him of being “mentally challenged.”
“People thought I was mad after publishing my survey. But look what just happened. I look at all those criticising me, and I laugh,” Dankwa said during an interview on Adom FM’s Burning Issues.
The final election results proved him correct—and even more accurate than anticipated. Mahama claimed victory with 56% of the vote, while Bawumia garnered 41%. Dankwa described the election as a “tsunami,” adding that there were portions of his survey data he chose not to publish.
Many pollsters had dismissed his findings, predicting a win for Bawumia, which amplified public scepticism toward Dankwa’s work. His triumph now highlights the importance of robust data analysis in political forecasting.
Looking to the future, Dankwa also shared a bold prediction regarding the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) internal elections, where he sees Kennedy Agyapong emerging victorious as the party’s next flagbearer.
“I don’t actually see Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia winning the next NPP flagbearership race. I see Kennedy Agyapong winning instead,” he stated confidently.
Musah Dankwa’s vindication underscores the power of accurate data and analysis, reshaping public perception of political polling in Ghana.